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Victory Cup BW31 1st Place

Promo · Promo · #BW31

The 1st Place printing — a separate card from the standard version.

$200

PriceCharting · in USD

—no move in 30D

Live deals

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Looking for confirmed deals on this card…

Find this on eBay US

Raw · ungraded$200 PSA 10$1,008 PSA 9$609 CGC 10$583 BGS 10$1,310

US sellers only. Opens eBay in a new tab.

HoloHawk earns a commission on eBay purchases through this link. It never changes the price you pay.

Prices by grade

PSA 10 = 5.0× raw

Today's figures for every tier.

Raw · ungraded$200

PSA 10$1,008

PSA 9$609

CGC 10$583

BGS 10$1,310

A PSA 10 sells for 5.0× the raw card — a gap of $808. Grading fees and the risk of a 9 come out of that.

At a glance

30-day high$200

30-day low$200

Tracked high$222

Days tracked188

Illustrator5ban Graphics

Price history

118 readings · 188d

7D30DAll

HoloHawk awaiting data$2000.0%PriceChartingPulseTCG awaiting data

Oct 12Oct 12Oct 15Oct 15Oct 19Oct 19

HoloHawk awaiting data$2000.0%PriceChartingPulseTCG awaiting data

Sep 19, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 20, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 21, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 22, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 23, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 24, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 25, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 26, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 27, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 28, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 29, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 30, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 1, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 2, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 3, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 4, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 5, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 6, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 7, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 8, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 9, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 10, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 11, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 12, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 13, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 14, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 15, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 16, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 17, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 18, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 19, 2026PriceCharting$200

Sep 19Sep 22Sep 29Sep 29Oct 15Oct 19

HoloHawk awaiting data$200+53.3%PriceChartingPulseTCG awaiting data

Apr 14, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 15, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 16, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 17, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 18, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 19, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 20, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 21, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 22, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 23, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 24, 2026PriceCharting$130Apr 25, 2026PriceCharting$131Apr 26, 2026PriceCharting$131Apr 27, 2026PriceCharting$131Apr 28, 2026PriceCharting$131Apr 29, 2026PriceCharting$131Apr 30, 2026PriceCharting$131May 1, 2026PriceCharting$131May 2, 2026PriceCharting$131May 3, 2026PriceCharting$131May 4, 2026PriceCharting$131May 5, 2026PriceCharting$131May 6, 2026PriceCharting$131May 7, 2026PriceCharting$131May 8, 2026PriceCharting$131May 9, 2026PriceCharting$131May 10, 2026PriceCharting$131May 11, 2026PriceCharting$131May 12, 2026PriceCharting$128May 13, 2026PriceCharting$128May 14, 2026PriceCharting$128May 15, 2026PriceCharting$128May 16, 2026PriceCharting$128May 17, 2026PriceCharting$128May 18, 2026PriceCharting$128May 19, 2026PriceCharting$128May 20, 2026PriceCharting$128May 21, 2026PriceCharting$128May 22, 2026PriceCharting$128May 23, 2026PriceCharting$128May 24, 2026PriceCharting$128May 25, 2026PriceCharting$128May 26, 2026PriceCharting$128May 27, 2026PriceCharting$147May 28, 2026PriceCharting$147May 29, 2026PriceCharting$147May 30, 2026PriceCharting$147May 31, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 1, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 2, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 3, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 4, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 5, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 6, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 7, 2026PriceCharting$147Jun 8, 2026PriceCharting$162Jun 9, 2026PriceCharting$162Jun 10, 2026PriceCharting$162Jun 11, 2026PriceCharting$162Jun 12, 2026PriceCharting$162Jun 13, 2026PriceCharting$162Jun 14, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 15, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 16, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 17, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 18, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 19, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 20, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 21, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 22, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 23, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 24, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 25, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 26, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 27, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 28, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 29, 2026PriceCharting$199Jun 30, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 1, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 2, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 3, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 4, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 5, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 6, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 7, 2026PriceCharting$199Jul 8, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 9, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 10, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 11, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 12, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 13, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 14, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 15, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 16, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 17, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 18, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 19, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 20, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 21, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 22, 2026PriceCharting$200Jul 23, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 24, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 25, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 26, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 27, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 28, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 29, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 30, 2026PriceCharting$222Jul 31, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 1, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 2, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 3, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 4, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 5, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 6, 2026PriceCharting$222Aug 7, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 8, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 9, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 10, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 11, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 12, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 13, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 14, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 15, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 16, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 17, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 18, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 19, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 20, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 21, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 22, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 23, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 24, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 25, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 26, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 27, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 28, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 29, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 30, 2026PriceCharting$200Aug 31, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 1, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 2, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 3, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 4, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 5, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 6, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 7, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 8, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 9, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 10, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 11, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 12, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 13, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 14, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 15, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 16, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 17, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 18, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 19, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 20, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 21, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 22, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 23, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 24, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 25, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 26, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 27, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 28, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 29, 2026PriceCharting$200Sep 30, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 1, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 2, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 3, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 4, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 5, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 6, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 7, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 8, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 9, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 10, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 11, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 12, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 13, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 14, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 15, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 16, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 17, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 18, 2026PriceCharting$200Oct 19, 2026PriceCharting$200

Apr 14May 8Jun 5Jun 28Jul 22Oct 19

Three independent readings on one scale. A reading is recorded only when a price changes, so a flat stretch means it held. Hover or tap any day. HoloHawk and PulseTCG have no readings for this card yet.

Graded price history

PSA 10 · $1,008

$1,008-2.1%PSA 10$609+20.8%PSA 9$583+8.7%CGC 10$1,310-0.6%BGS 10

Apr 14, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 15, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 16, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 17, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 18, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 19, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 20, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 21, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 22, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 23, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 24, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 25, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 26, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 27, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 28, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 29, 2026PSA 10$1,029Apr 30, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 1, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 2, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 3, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 4, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 5, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 6, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 7, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 8, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 9, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 10, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 11, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 12, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 13, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 14, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 15, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 16, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 17, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 18, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 19, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 20, 2026PSA 10$1,029May 21, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 22, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 23, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 24, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 25, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 26, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 27, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 28, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 29, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 30, 2026PSA 10$1,021May 31, 2026PSA 10$1,021Jun 1, 2026PSA 10$1,021Jun 2, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 3, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 4, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 5, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 6, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 7, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 8, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 9, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 10, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 11, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 12, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 13, 2026PSA 10$1,020Jun 14, 2026PSA 10$1,019Jun 15, 2026PSA 10$1,019Jun 16, 2026PSA 10$1,019Jun 17, 2026PSA 10$1,019Jun 18, 2026PSA 10$1,019Jun 19, 2026PSA 10$1,019Jun 20, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 21, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 22, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 23, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 24, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 25, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 26, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 27, 2026PSA 10$1,018Jun 28, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jun 29, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jun 30, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 1, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 2, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 3, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 4, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 5, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 6, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 7, 2026PSA 10$1,017Jul 8, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 9, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 10, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 11, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 12, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 13, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 14, 2026PSA 10$1,016Jul 15, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 16, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 17, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 18, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 19, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 20, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 21, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 22, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 23, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 24, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 25, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 26, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 27, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 28, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 29, 2026PSA 10$1,015Jul 30, 2026PSA 10$1,014Jul 31, 2026PSA 10$1,014Aug 1, 2026PSA 10$1,014Aug 2, 2026PSA 10$1,014Aug 3, 2026PSA 10$1,014Aug 4, 2026PSA 10$1,014PSA 9$504CGC 10$537BGS 10$1,318Aug 5, 2026PSA 10$1,014PSA 9$504CGC 10$537BGS 10$1,318Aug 6, 2026PSA 10$1,014PSA 9$504CGC 10$537BGS 10$1,318Aug 7, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$518BGS 10$1,317Aug 8, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$518BGS 10$1,317Aug 9, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$518BGS 10$1,317Aug 10, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$518BGS 10$1,317Aug 11, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$518BGS 10$1,317Aug 12, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$508BGS 10$1,316Aug 13, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$508BGS 10$1,316Aug 14, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$508BGS 10$1,316Aug 15, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$508BGS 10$1,316Aug 16, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$508BGS 10$1,316Aug 17, 2026PSA 10$1,013PSA 9$506CGC 10$508BGS 10$1,316Aug 18, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 19, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 20, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 21, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 22, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 23, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 24, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 25, 2026PSA 10$1,012PSA 9$508CGC 10$543BGS 10$1,316Aug 26, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Aug 27, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Aug 28, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Aug 29, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Aug 30, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Aug 31, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Sep 1, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Sep 2, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Sep 3, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Sep 4, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$559BGS 10$1,315Sep 5, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 6, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 7, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 8, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 9, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 10, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 11, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 12, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 13, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 14, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 15, 2026PSA 10$1,011PSA 9$508CGC 10$567BGS 10$1,314Sep 16, 2026PSA 10$1,010PSA 9$525CGC 10$570BGS 10$1,313Sep 17, 2026PSA 10$1,010PSA 9$525CGC 10$570BGS 10$1,313Sep 18, 2026PSA 10$1,010PSA 9$525CGC 10$570BGS 10$1,313Sep 19, 2026PSA 10$1,010PSA 9$525CGC 10$570BGS 10$1,313Sep 20, 2026PSA 10$1,010PSA 9$525CGC 10$570BGS 10$1,313Sep 21, 2026PSA 10$1,010PSA 9$525CGC 10$570BGS 10$1,313Sep 22, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 23, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 24, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 25, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 26, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 27, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 28, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$572BGS 10$1,312Sep 29, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Sep 30, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 1, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 2, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 3, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 4, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 5, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 6, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 7, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 8, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 9, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 10, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 11, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 12, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 13, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 14, 2026PSA 10$1,009PSA 9$525CGC 10$579BGS 10$1,312Oct 15, 2026PSA 10$1,008PSA 9$610CGC 10$582BGS 10$1,311Oct 16, 2026PSA 10$1,008PSA 9$610CGC 10$582BGS 10$1,311Oct 17, 2026PSA 10$1,008PSA 9$610CGC 10$582BGS 10$1,311Oct 18, 2026PSA 10$1,008PSA 9$610CGC 10$582BGS 10$1,311Oct 19, 2026PSA 10$1,008PSA 9$609CGC 10$583BGS 10$1,310

Apr 14May 8Jun 5Jun 28Jul 22Oct 19

Graded prices from PriceCharting, in USD. PSA 10 has been tracked since April 2026; the other tiers began recording 3 August 2026 and join the chart as their history builds.

New listings per day

Building

How much new stock hits the US market each day The scanner records every new UK listing it sees — around 13,600 a day. This charts how many appear for this card once the daily rollup has readings for it.

A direct count of listings we saw appear — not an estimate of every listing on eBay.

Confirmed sales per day

Building

How often this card actually sells We record roughly 4,600 UK auction outcomes a day across the catalogue. This charts how many close with a winning bid, day by day, from the first confirmed sale for this card.

Only auctions that finished with a bid count. A listing vanishing is not proof of a sale, so it is not counted as one.

Recent confirmed sales

Recording live

No confirmed sales for this card yet We log every US auction that closes with a winning bid — around 4,600 a day across the catalogue. The first result for this card appears here as soon as one sells.

On sale now in the US

1 live

Fixed-price listings we are currently tracking, cheapest first. Asking prices, not sales, and a sample of what is listed rather than everything on eBay. Each row opens the listing on eBay — HoloHawk earns a commission on purchases made through it, and it never changes the price you pay.

Listing	Condition	Ask
Victory Cup - (Battle Road Autumn 2012) [1st Place] BW31 Black &	Ungraded	$400

Where these numbers come from

Three independent readings, shown side by side rather than blended into one figure:

HoloHawk Our own market price, from live US listings

PriceCharting Published reference price, in USD

PulseTCG Published reference price, natively USD

A reading is stored only when a price actually changes, so flat stretches mean the price held — not that data is missing. Where a source has no history for an item its line is absent rather than flat. Confirmed sales are US auctions that closed with a winning bid, observed within three minutes of close, so each is a lower bound. Live listings are asking prices, not sales. Supply and sales counts are direct observations — listings we saw appear and auctions we saw close with a bid. We do not infer that a listing sold because it disappeared, so nothing here depends on that guess.

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